Dollar General

DG US Consumer Staples Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail
S&P 500
$124.58
+1.29%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

DG
Dollar General
Consumer StaplesConsumer Staples Merchandise Retail
$124.58
Close used for this calculation
$171.22Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
61/100
Profitability17/25
Returns16/25
Balance Sheet12/25
Efficiency16/25
Growth23/25
Good
Quality radar
61Prof.17/25Ret.16/25Eff.16/25B.Sht12/25Growth23/25

Consensus fair value

$171.22
Below FV
▲ +37.4% against the close used
Model range $80.40 – $264.97
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$80.40Fair value$171.22Bull$264.97
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $95.9452W high $156.24

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

Dollar General closed at $124.58, 27.2% below the consensus fair value of $171.22 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 61/100 — Good. P/E of 18.2x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$215.18
+72.7%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$80.40
-35.5%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=6.85, BVPS=41.95 · outside Graham range (P/E 18.2, P/B 3) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$137.00
+10.0%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=6.85, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$142.21
+14.1%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=6.85, g=20.8%
EV/EBITDA
$264.97
+112.7%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=3.25B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$127.15
+2.1%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=2.35, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
$107.80
-13.5%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=41.95, ROE=16.3%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$124.58
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 5.9% | Historical: 20.8%
Margin of Safety
$108.15
-13.2%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=144.19, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.