$171.22
Below FV▲ +37.4% against the close used
Model range $80.40 – $264.97
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Bear$80.40Fair value$171.22Bull$264.97
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $95.9452W high $156.24
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Trading below the consensus fair value
Dollar General closed at $124.58, 27.2% below the consensus fair value of $171.22 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 61/100 — Good. P/E of 18.2x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
DCF Valuation
$215.18
+72.7%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$80.40
-35.5%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=6.85, BVPS=41.95 · outside Graham range (P/E 18.2, P/B 3) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$137.00
+10.0%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=6.85, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$142.21
+14.1%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=6.85, g=20.8%
EV/EBITDA
$264.97
+112.7%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=3.25B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$127.15
+2.1%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=2.35, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
$107.80
-13.5%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=41.95, ROE=16.3%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$124.58
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 5.9% | Historical: 20.8%
Margin of Safety
$108.15
-13.2%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=144.19, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.