D. R. Horton

DHI US Consumer Discretionary Homebuilding
S&P 500
$137.89
+1.71%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

DHI
D. R. Horton
Consumer DiscretionaryHomebuilding
$137.89
Close used for this calculation
$218.22Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
73/100
Profitability21/25
Returns17/25
Balance Sheet14/25
Efficiency21/25
Growth23/25
Strong
Quality radar
73Prof.21/25Ret.17/25Eff.21/25B.Sht14/25Growth23/25

Consensus fair value

$218.22
Below FV
▲ +58.3% against the close used
Model range $86.37 – $347.10
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$86.37Fair value$218.22Bull$347.10
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $132.5352W high $181.01

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

D. R. Horton closed at $137.89, 36.8% below the consensus fair value of $218.22 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 73/100 — Strong. P/E of 11.9x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$210.33
+52.5%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$147.95
+7.3%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=11.57, BVPS=84.08
P/E Fair Value
$231.40
+67.8%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=11.57, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$347.10
+151.7%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=11.57, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
$281.22
+103.9%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=4.84B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$86.37
-37.4%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=1.6, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
$190.23
+38.0%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=84.08, ROE=15%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$137.89
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 0.1% | Historical: 36.1%
Margin of Safety
$147.42
+6.9%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=196.56, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.