$70.97
Above FV▼ -34.2% against the close used
Model range $7.30 – $88.14
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Bear$7.30Fair value$70.97Bull$88.14
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $45.8852W high $108.31
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Trading above the consensus fair value
HF Sinclair closed at $107.84, 52.0% above the consensus fair value of $70.97 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 42/100 — Average. P/E of 35.0x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
DCF Valuation
$86.34
-19.9%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$63.05
-41.5%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=3.08, BVPS=57.36 · outside Graham range (P/E 35, P/B 1.9) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$61.60
-42.9%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=3.08, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$7.30
-93.2%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=3.08, g=2.4%
EV/EBITDA
$88.14
-18.3%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=1.84B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$25.44
-76.4%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=2, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
$21.55
-80.0%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=57.36, ROE=5.6%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$107.84
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 14.7% | Historical: -2.4%
Margin of Safety
$52.75
-51.1%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=70.33, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.