Duolingo

DUOL US Consumer Discretionary Education Services
S&P 400
$143.68
-1.02%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

DUOL
Duolingo
Consumer DiscretionaryEducation Services
$143.68
Close used for this calculation
$138.70Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
73/100
Profitability25/25
Returns12/25
Balance Sheet21/25
Efficiency15/25
Growth12/25
Strong
Quality radar
73Prof.25/25Ret.12/25Eff.15/25B.Sht21/25Growth12/25

Consensus fair value

$138.70
Near FV
▼ -3.5% against the close used
Model range $55.87 – $257.10
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$55.87Fair value$138.70Bull$257.10
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $90.0352W high $347.27

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading close to the consensus fair value

Duolingo closed at $143.68, 3.6% above the consensus fair value of $138.70 drawn from 8 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 73/100 — Strong. P/E of 16.8x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$151.89
+5.7%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$73.70
-48.7%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=8.57, BVPS=28.17 · outside Graham range (P/E 16.8, P/B 5.1) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$171.40
+19.3%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=8.57, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$257.10
+78.9%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=8.57, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
$55.87
-61.1%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=149.96M
Book Value (P/B)
$164.60
+14.6%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=28.17, ROE=29.4%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$143.68
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 4.8% | Historical: 40%
Margin of Safety
$99.25
-30.9%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=132.33, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.