Encore Capital Group, Inc.

ECPG US Financials Consumer Finance
S&P 600
$98.56
+0.63%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

ECPG
Encore Capital Group, Inc.
FinancialsConsumer Finance
$98.56
Close used for this calculation
$152.68Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
81/100
Profitability21/25
Returns25/25
Balance Sheet17/25
Efficiency18/25
Growth14/25
Exceptional
Quality radar
81Prof.21/25Ret.25/25Eff.18/25B.Sht17/25Growth14/25

Consensus fair value

$152.68
Below FV
▲ +54.9% against the close used
Model range $103.24 – $452.83
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$103.24Fair value$152.68Bull$452.83
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $40.5352W high $103.74

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

Encore Capital Group, Inc. closed at $98.56, 35.4% below the consensus fair value of $152.68 drawn from 8 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 81/100 — Exceptional. P/E of 9.0x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$107.02
+8.6%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$103.24
+4.7%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=10.91, BVPS=43.42
P/E Fair Value
$218.20
+121.4%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=10.91, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$136.70
+38.7%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=10.91, g=12.5%
EV/EBITDA
$452.83
+359.4%
(EBITDA × 16.3x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=655.41M
Book Value (P/B)
$216.98
+120.2%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=43.42, ROE=26%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$98.56
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -3.7% | Historical: 12.5%
Margin of Safety
$107.12
+8.7%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=142.82, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.