Ellington Financial, Inc.

EFC US Financials Specialized Finance
S&P 600
$12.89
-1.15%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

EFC
Ellington Financial, Inc.
FinancialsSpecialized Finance
$12.89
Close used for this calculation
$20.60Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
46/100
Profitability16/25
Returns6/25
Balance Sheet8/25
Efficiency16/25
Growth11/25
Average
Quality radar
46Prof.16/25Ret.6/25Eff.16/25B.Sht8/25Growth11/25

Consensus fair value

$20.60
Below FV
▲ +59.8% against the close used
Model range $6.74 – $23.80
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$6.74Fair value$20.60Bull$23.80
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $11.3052W high $14.01

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

Ellington Financial, Inc. closed at $12.89, 37.4% below the consensus fair value of $20.60 drawn from 7 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 46/100 — Average. P/E of 10.8x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$22.30
+73.0%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$20.39
+58.2%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=1.19, BVPS=15.53
P/E Fair Value
$23.80
+84.6%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=1.19, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$7.22
-44.0%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=1.19, g=6.1%
Book Value (P/B)
$6.74
-47.7%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=15.53, ROE=6%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$12.89
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -1.2% | Historical: -6.1%
Margin of Safety
$16.62
+29.0%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=22.16, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.