Essent Group Ltd.

ESNT US Financials Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance
S&P 400
$68.18
-0.23%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

ESNT
Essent Group Ltd.
FinancialsCommercial & Residential Mortgage Finance
$68.18
Close used for this calculation
$134.75Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
74/100
Profitability23/25
Returns14/25
Balance Sheet14/25
Efficiency23/25
Growth20/25
Strong
Quality radar
74Prof.23/25Ret.14/25Eff.23/25B.Sht14/25Growth20/25

Consensus fair value

$134.75
Below FV
▲ +97.6% against the close used
Model range $67.01 – $168.46
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$67.01Fair value$134.75Bull$168.46
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $55.8452W high $69.63

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

Essent Group Ltd. closed at $68.18, 49.4% below the consensus fair value of $134.75 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 74/100 — Strong. P/E of 9.9x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$168.46
+147.1%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$98.10
+43.9%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=6.9, BVPS=61.98
P/E Fair Value
$138.00
+102.4%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=6.9, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$130.27
+91.1%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=6.9, g=18.9%
EV/EBITDA
$148.88
+118.4%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=827.1M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$67.01
-1.7%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=1.24, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
$95.76
+40.5%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=61.98, ROE=12.2%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$68.18
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -2.5% | Historical: 18.9%
Margin of Safety
$101.14
+48.3%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=134.85, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.