$246.68
Near FV▼ -9.6% against the close used
Model range $138.39 – $555.59
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Bear$138.39Fair value$246.68Bull$555.59
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $239.6152W high $298.33
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Trading above the consensus fair value
Essex Property Trust closed at $272.91, 10.6% above the consensus fair value of $246.68 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 56/100 — Good. P/E of 26.2x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
DCF Valuation
$206.43
-24.4%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$139.11
-49.0%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=10.4, BVPS=82.7 · outside Graham range (P/E 26.2, P/B 3.3) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$208.00
-23.8%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=10.4, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$164.94
-39.6%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=10.4, g=15.9%
EV/EBITDA
$399.83
+46.5%
(EBITDA × 17.9x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=1.51B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$555.59
+103.6%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=10.29, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
$148.86
-45.5%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=82.7, ROE=13.2%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$272.91
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 10.8% | Historical: 15.9%
Margin of Safety
$138.39
-49.3%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=184.51, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.