Expand Energy

EXE US Energy Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
S&P 500
$94.83
-2.11%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

EXE
Expand Energy
EnergyOil & Gas Exploration & Production
$94.83
Close used for this calculation
$143.86Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
72/100
Profitability23/25
Returns15/25
Balance Sheet17/25
Efficiency17/25
Growth20/25
Strong
Quality radar
72Prof.23/25Ret.15/25Eff.17/25B.Sht17/25Growth20/25

Consensus fair value

$143.86
Below FV
▲ +51.7% against the close used
Model range $67.07 – $390.05
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$67.07Fair value$143.86Bull$390.05
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $86.9552W high $122.89

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

Expand Energy closed at $94.83, 34.1% below the consensus fair value of $143.86 drawn from 8 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 72/100 — Strong. P/E of 12.5x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$151.91
+60.2%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$117.49
+23.9%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=7.57, BVPS=81.05
P/E Fair Value
$151.40
+59.7%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=7.57, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$227.10
+139.5%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=7.57, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
$390.05
+311.3%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=5.45B
Book Value (P/B)
$67.07
-29.3%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=81.05, ROE=9.3%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$94.83
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 0.8% | Historical: 40%
Margin of Safety
$105.20
+10.9%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=140.27, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.