Expeditors International

EXPD US Industrials Air Freight & Logistics
S&P 500
$192.60
+1.73%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

EXPD
Expeditors International
IndustrialsAir Freight & Logistics
$192.60
Close used for this calculation
$123.85Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
52/100
Profitability15/25
Returns12/25
Balance Sheet19/25
Efficiency6/25
Growth6/25
Good
Quality radar
52Prof.15/25Ret.12/25Eff.6/25B.Sht19/25Growth6/25

Consensus fair value

$123.85
Above FV
▼ -35.7% against the close used
Model range $46.47 – $138.95
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$46.47Fair value$123.85Bull$138.95
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $113.1352W high $192.60

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

Expeditors International closed at $192.60, 55.5% above the consensus fair value of $123.85 drawn from 8 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 52/100 — Good. P/E of 32.4x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$138.95
-27.9%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$46.47
-75.9%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=5.95, BVPS=16.13 · outside Graham range (P/E 32.4, P/B 11.9) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$119.00
-38.2%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=5.95, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$64.44
-66.5%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=5.95, g=10.8%
EV/EBITDA
$125.56
-34.8%
(EBITDA × 15.4x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=1.11B
Book Value (P/B)
$130.05
-32.5%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=16.13, ROE=38.3%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$192.60
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 13.6% | Historical: 10.8%
Margin of Safety
$76.10
-60.5%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=101.47, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.