The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear$14.32Fair value$27.36Bull$32.85
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $15.2952W high $21.95
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
First Commonwealth Financial, Corp. closed at $21.31, 22.1% below the consensus fair value of $27.36 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 68/100 — Strong. P/E of 14.5x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
$32.85
+54.1%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$22.60
+6.1%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=1.47, BVPS=15.44
P/E Fair Value
$29.40
+38.0%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=1.47, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$15.74
-26.1%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=1.47, g=10.7%
EV/EBITDA
$29.34
+37.7%
(EBITDA × 15.4x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=197.98M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$28.88
+35.5%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=0.53, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
$14.32
-32.8%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=15.44, ROE=9.7%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$21.31
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 2.8% | Historical: 10.7%
Margin of Safety
$21.21
-0.5%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=28.28, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.