FedEx
S&P 500
$311.99
+0.06%
Delayed · cached 15 min
Fair value analysis
FDX
FedEx
$311.99
Close used for this calculation
$412.25Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
60/100
Quality radar
Consensus fair value
$412.25
Below FV▲ +32.1% against the close used
Model range $234.90 – $695.67
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear$234.90Fair value$412.25Bull$695.67
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $181.0152W high $339.35
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
FedEx closed at $311.99, 24.3% below the consensus fair value of $412.25 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 60/100 — Good. P/E of 16.8x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
$424.93
+36.2%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$234.90
-24.7%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=18.55, BVPS=132.2 · outside Graham range (P/E 16.8, P/B 2.4) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$371.00
+18.9%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=18.55, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$375.64
+20.4%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=18.55, g=20.3%
EV/EBITDA
$695.67
+123.0%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=9.83B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$313.36
+0.4%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=5.8, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
$264.73
-15.1%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=132.2, ROE=14%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$311.99
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 4.8% | Historical: 20.3%
Margin of Safety
$257.71
-17.4%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=343.61, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.