$26.28
Above FV▼ -20.7% against the close used
Model range $3.93 – $35.40
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Bear$3.93Fair value$26.28Bull$35.40
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $28.5952W high $36.50
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Trading above the consensus fair value
First Financial Bankshares closed at $33.16, 26.2% above the consensus fair value of $26.28 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 62/100 — Good. P/E of 18.7x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
DCF Valuation
$26.82
-19.1%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=2.2%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$23.51
-29.1%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=1.77, BVPS=13.87 · outside Graham range (P/E 18.7, P/B 2.4) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$35.40
+6.8%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=1.77, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$3.93
-88.2%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=1.77, g=2.2%
EV/EBITDA
$25.07
-24.4%
(EBITDA × 11.1x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=323.25M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$9.85
-70.3%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=0.75, r=10%, g=2.2%
Book Value (P/B)
$19.23
-42.0%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=13.87, ROE=12.7%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$33.16
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 6.3% | Historical: 2.2%
Margin of Safety
$21.43
-35.4%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=28.58, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.