Freshpet

FRPT US Consumer Staples Packaged Foods & Meats
S&P 600
$63.74
-2.19%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

FRPT
Freshpet
Consumer StaplesPackaged Foods & Meats
$63.74
Close used for this calculation
$49.12Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
54/100
Profitability21/25
Returns8/25
Balance Sheet15/25
Efficiency10/25
Growth12/25
Good
Quality radar
54Prof.21/25Ret.8/25Eff.10/25B.Sht15/25Growth12/25

Consensus fair value

$49.12
Above FV
▼ -22.9% against the close used
Model range $4.66 – $79.20
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$4.66Fair value$49.12Bull$79.20
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $47.3952W high $85.50

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

Freshpet closed at $63.74, 29.8% above the consensus fair value of $49.12 drawn from 8 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 54/100 — Good. P/E of 24.1x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$4.66
-92.7%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$36.32
-43.0%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=2.64, BVPS=22.21 · outside Graham range (P/E 24.1, P/B 2.9) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$52.80
-17.2%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=2.64, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$79.20
+24.3%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=2.64, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
$55.35
-13.2%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=162.07M
Book Value (P/B)
$29.09
-54.4%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=22.21, ROE=11.2%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$63.74
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 9.7% | Historical: 40%
Margin of Safety
$23.45
-63.2%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=31.26, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.