The Greenbrier Companies, Inc.

GBX US Industrials Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment
S&P 600
$43.09
+1.01%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

GBX
The Greenbrier Companies, Inc.
IndustrialsConstruction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment
$43.09
Close used for this calculation
$107.84Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
59/100
Profitability17/25
Returns18/25
Balance Sheet3/25
Efficiency21/25
Growth20/25
Good
Quality radar
59Prof.17/25Ret.18/25Eff.21/25B.Sht3/25Growth20/25

Consensus fair value

$107.84
Below FV
▲ +150.3% against the close used
Model range $29.09 – $224.75
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$29.09Fair value$107.84Bull$224.75
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $41.2952W high $58.87

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

The Greenbrier Companies, Inc. closed at $43.09, 60.0% below the consensus fair value of $107.84 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 59/100 — Good. P/E of 6.8x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$126.04
+192.5%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$84.12
+95.2%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=6.35, BVPS=49.53
P/E Fair Value
$127.00
+194.7%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=6.35, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$115.51
+168.1%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=6.35, g=18.2%
EV/EBITDA
$224.75
+421.6%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=481.6M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$29.09
-32.5%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=0.54, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
$86.30
+100.3%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=49.53, ROE=13%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$43.09
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -7.9% | Historical: 18.2%
Margin of Safety
$84.29
+95.6%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=112.39, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.