$55.23
Above FV▼ -28.0% against the close used
Model range $4.71 – $70.57
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Bear$4.71Fair value$55.23Bull$70.57
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $73.1352W high $94.82
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Trading above the consensus fair value
Graco Inc. closed at $76.70, 38.9% above the consensus fair value of $55.23 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 57/100 — Good. P/E of 24.9x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
DCF Valuation
$70.57
-8.0%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$32.47
-57.7%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=3.08, BVPS=15.22 · outside Graham range (P/E 24.9, P/B 5) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$61.60
-19.7%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=3.08, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$4.71
-93.9%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=3.08, g=1.5%
EV/EBITDA
$43.22
-43.7%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=732.23M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$14.28
-81.4%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=1.12, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
$38.46
-49.9%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=15.22, ROE=20.7%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$76.70
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 10.1% | Historical: -1.5%
Margin of Safety
$41.16
-46.3%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=54.88, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.