Green Brick Partners, Inc.

GRBK US Consumer Discretionary Homebuilding
S&P 600
$68.42
+1.36%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

GRBK
Green Brick Partners, Inc.
Consumer DiscretionaryHomebuilding
$68.42
Close used for this calculation
$105.57Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
73/100
Profitability17/25
Returns19/25
Balance Sheet19/25
Efficiency18/25
Growth11/25
Strong
Quality radar
73Prof.17/25Ret.19/25Eff.18/25B.Sht19/25Growth11/25

Consensus fair value

$105.57
Below FV
▲ +54.3% against the close used
Model range $48.64 – $141.40
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$48.64Fair value$105.57Bull$141.40
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $61.2652W high $80.59

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

Green Brick Partners, Inc. closed at $68.42, 35.2% below the consensus fair value of $105.57 drawn from 8 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 73/100 — Strong. P/E of 9.7x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$82.69
+20.9%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=6.9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$85.18
+24.5%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=7.07, BVPS=45.61
P/E Fair Value
$141.40
+106.7%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=7.07, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$48.64
-28.9%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=7.07, g=6.9%
EV/EBITDA
$131.49
+92.2%
(EBITDA × 13.4x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=443.29M
Book Value (P/B)
$112.44
+64.3%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=45.61, ROE=15.9%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$68.42
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -2.8% | Historical: 6.9%
Margin of Safety
$77.32
+13.0%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=103.09, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.