Guj State Fert & Chem Ltd

GSFC NSE Commodities Fertilizers
Microcap 250
₹156.05
-2.70%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

GSFC
Guj State Fert & Chem Ltd
CommoditiesFertilizers
₹160.38
Close used for this calculation
₹284.72Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
54/100
Profitability13/25
Returns13/25
Balance Sheet3/25
Efficiency25/25
Growth16/25
Good
Quality radar
54Prof.13/25Ret.13/25Eff.25/25B.Sht3/25Growth16/25

Consensus fair value

₹284.72
Below FV
▲ +77.5% against the close used
Model range ₹141.79 – ₹396.56
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear₹141.79Fair value₹284.72Bull₹396.56
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ₹139.2252W high ₹211.04

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

Guj State Fert & Chem Ltd closed at ₹160.38, 43.7% below the consensus fair value of ₹284.72 drawn from 10 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 54/100 — Good. P/E of 9.0x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
₹323.72
+101.8%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8.4%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
₹352.58
+119.8%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=16.88, BVPS=327.31
Graham Formula
₹396.56
+147.3%
EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 6.5 ÷ FD_Rate
g=8.4%, FD=7%
P/E Fair Value
₹217.75
+35.8%
EPS × 12.9x (sector P/E)
EPS=16.88, Sector P/E=12.9x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
₹141.79
-11.6%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=16.88, g=8.4%
EV/EBITDA
₹362.87
+126.3%
(EBITDA × 14.2x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=9.92B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
₹278.00
+73.3%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=5.15, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
₹180.35
+12.4%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=327.31, ROE=5.5%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
₹160.38
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -3% | Historical: 8.4%
Margin of Safety
₹241.99
+50.9%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=322.65, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.