The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear$20.80Fair value$44.09Bull$63.85
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $34.3752W high $80.97
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading above the consensus fair value
Goosehead Insurance, Inc. closed at $57.18, 29.7% above the consensus fair value of $44.09 drawn from 7 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 48/100 — Average. P/E of 55.0x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
$63.85
+11.7%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
P/E Fair Value
$20.80
-63.6%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=1.04, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$31.20
-45.4%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=1.04, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
$48.01
-16.0%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=85.72M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$62.06
+8.5%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=1.15, r=10%, g=8%
Reverse DCF
$57.18
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 20.8% | Historical: 40%
Margin of Safety
$31.74
-44.5%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=42.33, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.