Home Depot (The)

HD US Consumer Discretionary Home Improvement Retail
S&P 500 Dow Jones
$308.74
+1.00%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

HD
Home Depot (The)
Consumer DiscretionaryHome Improvement Retail
$308.74
Close used for this calculation
$303.16Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
52/100
Profitability19/25
Returns15/25
Balance Sheet7/25
Efficiency11/25
Growth15/25
Good
Quality radar
52Prof.19/25Ret.15/25Eff.11/25B.Sht7/25Growth15/25

Consensus fair value

$303.16
Near FV
▼ -1.8% against the close used
Model range $73.08 – $496.82
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$73.08Fair value$303.16Bull$496.82
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $297.5152W high $423.42

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading close to the consensus fair value

Home Depot (The) closed at $308.74, 1.8% above the consensus fair value of $303.16 drawn from 8 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 52/100 — Good. P/E of 21.7x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$252.32
-18.3%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$73.08
-76.3%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=14.23, BVPS=16.68 · outside Graham range (P/E 21.7, P/B 18.5) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$284.60
-7.8%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=14.23, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$339.81
+10.1%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=14.23, g=23.9%
EV/EBITDA
$393.31
+27.4%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=24.4B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$496.82
+60.9%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=9.2, r=10%, g=8%
Reverse DCF
$308.74
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 8.2% | Historical: 23.9%
Margin of Safety
$152.50
-50.6%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=203.33, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.