Heritage Financial Corporation

HFWA US Health Care Regional Banks
S&P 600
$28.41
+0.00%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

HFWA
Heritage Financial Corporation
Health CareRegional Banks
$28.41
Close used for this calculation
$43.88Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
62/100
Profitability25/25
Returns8/25
Balance Sheet11/25
Efficiency18/25
Growth25/25
Good
Quality radar
62Prof.25/25Ret.8/25Eff.18/25B.Sht11/25Growth25/25

Consensus fair value

$43.88
Below FV
▲ +54.5% against the close used
Model range $0.60 – $58.80
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$0.60Fair value$43.88Bull$58.80
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $21.4752W high $31.25

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

Heritage Financial Corporation closed at $28.41, 35.3% below the consensus fair value of $43.88 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 62/100 — Good. P/E of 14.5x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$49.35
+73.7%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$34.38
+21.0%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=1.96, BVPS=26.8
P/E Fair Value
$39.20
+38.0%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=1.96, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$58.80
+107.0%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=1.96, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
$41.56
+46.3%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=79.56M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$51.85
+82.5%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=0.96, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
$0.60
-97.9%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=26.8, ROE=6.1%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$28.41
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 2.8% | Historical: 40%
Margin of Safety
$30.73
+8.2%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=40.98, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.