The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear$8.31Fair value$49.20Bull$63.87
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $17.1952W high $30.70
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
Harley-Davidson closed at $27.87, 43.4% below the consensus fair value of $49.20 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 65/100 — Strong. P/E of 10.0x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
$63.87
+129.2%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$42.18
+51.3%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=2.78, BVPS=28.44
P/E Fair Value
$55.60
+99.5%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=2.78, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$8.31
-70.2%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=2.78, g=3%
EV/EBITDA
$45.88
+64.6%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=559.01M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$9.17
-67.1%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=0.72, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
$32.22
+15.6%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=28.44, ROE=10.9%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$27.87
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -2.3% | Historical: -3%
Margin of Safety
$40.41
+45.0%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=53.88, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.