The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear$23.96Fair value$39.99Bull$48.64
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $25.6852W high $31.48
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
Home BancShares closed at $29.97, 25.1% below the consensus fair value of $39.99 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 65/100 — Strong. P/E of 12.4x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
$37.93
+26.6%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$34.96
+16.6%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=2.41, BVPS=22.53
P/E Fair Value
$48.20
+60.8%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=2.41, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$23.96
-20.1%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=2.41, g=9.9%
EV/EBITDA
$48.64
+62.3%
(EBITDA × 15x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=641M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$43.53
+45.3%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=0.81, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
$25.13
-16.2%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=22.53, ROE=10.5%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$29.97
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 0.7% | Historical: 9.9%
Margin of Safety
$30.27
+1.0%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=40.36, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.