Hormel Foods

HRL US Consumer Staples Packaged Foods & Meats
S&P 500
$20.57
-1.30%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

HRL
Hormel Foods
Consumer StaplesPackaged Foods & Meats
$20.57
Close used for this calculation
$15.67Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
47/100
Profitability6/25
Returns7/25
Balance Sheet21/25
Efficiency13/25
Growth6/25
Average
Quality radar
47Prof.6/25Ret.7/25Eff.13/25B.Sht21/25Growth6/25

Consensus fair value

$15.67
Above FV
▼ -23.8% against the close used
Model range $1.97 – $18.22
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$1.97Fair value$15.67Bull$18.22
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $19.7452W high $26.51

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

Hormel Foods closed at $20.57, 31.3% above the consensus fair value of $15.67 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 47/100 — Average. P/E of 23.6x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$18.22
-11.4%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$16.66
-19.0%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=0.87, BVPS=14.19 · outside Graham range (P/E 23.6, P/B 1.5) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$17.40
-15.4%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=0.87, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$1.97
-90.4%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=0.87, g=2.3%
EV/EBITDA
$13.90
-32.4%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=982.5M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$14.79
-28.1%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=1.16, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
$6.28
-69.5%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=14.19, ROE=6.1%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$20.57
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 9.4% | Historical: -2.3%
Margin of Safety
$13.07
-36.5%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=17.43, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.