Humana

HUM US Health Care Managed Health Care
S&P 500
$409.80
+2.26%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

HUM
Humana
Health CareManaged Health Care
$409.80
Close used for this calculation
$201.16Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
42/100
Profitability17/25
Returns3/25
Balance Sheet18/25
Efficiency4/25
Growth1/25
Average
Quality radar
42Prof.17/25Ret.3/25Eff.4/25B.Sht18/25Growth1/25

Consensus fair value

$201.16
Above FV
▼ -50.9% against the close used
Model range $26.37 – $251.88
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$26.37Fair value$201.16Bull$251.88
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $163.6752W high $409.80

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

Humana closed at $409.80, 103.7% above the consensus fair value of $201.16 drawn from 8 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 42/100 — Average. P/E of 41.7x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$42.85
-89.5%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=2.7%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$184.69
-54.9%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=9.84, BVPS=154.06 · outside Graham range (P/E 41.7, P/B 2.7) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$196.80
-52.0%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=9.84, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$26.37
-93.6%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=9.84, g=2.7%
EV/EBITDA
$251.88
-38.5%
(EBITDA × 11.3x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=3.4B
Book Value (P/B)
$74.61
-81.8%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=154.06, ROE=6.4%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$409.80
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 17% | Historical: 2.7%
Margin of Safety
$106.09
-74.1%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=141.45, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.