Howmet Aerospace

HWM US Industrials Aerospace & Defense
S&P 500
$229.61
+0.75%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

HWM
Howmet Aerospace
IndustrialsAerospace & Defense
$229.61
Close used for this calculation
$78.29Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
57/100
Profitability23/25
Returns10/25
Balance Sheet18/25
Efficiency6/25
Growth12/25
Good
Quality radar
57Prof.23/25Ret.10/25Eff.6/25B.Sht18/25Growth12/25

Consensus fair value

$78.29
Above FV
▼ -65.9% against the close used
Model range $34.50 – $106.96
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$34.50Fair value$78.29Bull$106.96
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $184.0952W high $292.65

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

Howmet Aerospace closed at $229.61, 193.3% above the consensus fair value of $78.29 drawn from 8 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 57/100 — Good. P/E of 61.9x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$69.88
-69.6%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$34.50
-85.0%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=3.71, BVPS=14.26 · outside Graham range (P/E 61.9, P/B 16.1) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$74.20
-67.7%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=3.71, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$106.96
-53.4%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=3.71, g=28.8%
EV/EBITDA
$97.46
-57.6%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=2.33B
Book Value (P/B)
$72.41
-68.5%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=14.26, ROE=26.3%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$229.61
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 22.4% | Historical: 28.8%
Margin of Safety
$44.64
-80.6%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=59.53, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.