Ingredion

INGR US Consumer Staples Agricultural Products & Services
S&P 400
$100.49
-0.63%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

INGR
Ingredion
Consumer StaplesAgricultural Products & Services
$100.49
Close used for this calculation
$49.33Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
60/100
Profitability12/25
Returns10/25
Balance Sheet21/25
Efficiency17/25
Growth8/25
Good
Quality radar
60Prof.12/25Ret.10/25Eff.17/25B.Sht21/25Growth8/25

Consensus fair value

$49.33
Above FV
▼ -50.9% against the close used
Model range $13.95 – $132.54
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$13.95Fair value$49.33Bull$132.54
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $94.7152W high $126.88

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

Ingredion closed at $100.49, 103.7% above the consensus fair value of $49.33 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 60/100 — Good. P/E of 39.3x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$33.63
-66.5%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$63.85
-36.5%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=2.56, BVPS=70.77 · outside Graham range (P/E 39.3, P/B 1.4) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$51.20
-49.0%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=2.56, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$13.95
-86.1%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=2.56, g=5.5%
EV/EBITDA
$40.81
-59.4%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=1.24B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$41.26
-58.9%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=3.24, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
$132.54
+31.9%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=70.77, ROE=16.1%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$100.49
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 16.2% | Historical: -5.5%
Margin of Safety
$37.17
-63.0%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=49.56, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.