Johnson Controls

JCI US Industrials Building Products
S&P 500
$146.01
+2.24%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

JCI
Johnson Controls
IndustrialsBuilding Products
$146.01
Close used for this calculation
$72.89Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
45/100
Profitability17/25
Returns9/25
Balance Sheet10/25
Efficiency9/25
Growth9/25
Average
Quality radar
45Prof.17/25Ret.9/25Eff.9/25B.Sht10/25Growth9/25

Consensus fair value

$72.89
Above FV
▼ -50.1% against the close used
Model range $49.92 – $101.03
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$49.92Fair value$72.89Bull$101.03
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $105.5552W high $154.76

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

Johnson Controls closed at $146.01, 100.3% above the consensus fair value of $72.89 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 45/100 — Average. P/E of 29.0x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$64.32
-56.0%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$49.92
-65.8%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=5.03, BVPS=22.02 · outside Graham range (P/E 29, P/B 6.6) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$100.60
-31.1%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=5.03, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$54.42
-62.7%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=5.03, g=10.8%
EV/EBITDA
$52.17
-64.3%
(EBITDA × 15.4x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=2.83B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$81.21
-44.4%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=1.5, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
$101.03
-30.8%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=22.02, ROE=24.4%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$146.01
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 12.2% | Historical: 10.8%
Margin of Safety
$53.71
-63.2%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=71.61, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.