$200.76
Above FV▼ -24.4% against the close used
Model range $92.94 – $278.22
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Bear$92.94Fair value$200.76Bull$278.22
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $174.1652W high $278.43
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Trading above the consensus fair value
Johnson & Johnson closed at $265.58, 32.3% above the consensus fair value of $200.76 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 60/100 — Good. P/E of 24.1x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
DCF Valuation
$160.89
-39.4%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$92.94
-65.0%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=11.03, BVPS=34.81 · outside Graham range (P/E 24.1, P/B 7.6) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$220.60
-16.9%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=11.03, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$110.52
-58.4%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=11.03, g=10%
EV/EBITDA
$238.65
-10.1%
(EBITDA × 15x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=40.08B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$278.22
+4.8%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=5.15, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
$222.24
-16.3%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=34.81, ROE=31.5%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$265.58
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 9.6% | Historical: 10%
Margin of Safety
$118.61
-55.3%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=158.14, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.