Kaiser Aluminum Corporation

KALU US Materials Aluminum
S&P 600
$157.20
-0.77%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

KALU
Kaiser Aluminum Corporation
MaterialsAluminum
$157.20
Close used for this calculation
$124.94Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
42/100
Profitability11/25
Returns13/25
Balance Sheet7/25
Efficiency11/25
Growth6/25
Average
Quality radar
42Prof.11/25Ret.13/25Eff.11/25B.Sht7/25Growth6/25

Consensus fair value

$124.94
Above FV
▼ -20.5% against the close used
Model range $49.29 – $192.18
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$49.29Fair value$124.94Bull$192.18
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $73.9352W high $195.63

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

Kaiser Aluminum Corporation closed at $157.20, 25.8% above the consensus fair value of $124.94 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 42/100 — Average. P/E of 23.2x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$121.75
-22.6%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=7.3%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$92.15
-41.4%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=6.77, BVPS=55.74 · outside Graham range (P/E 23.2, P/B 2.8) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$135.40
-13.9%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=6.77, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$49.29
-68.6%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=6.77, g=7.3%
EV/EBITDA
$192.18
+22.3%
(EBITDA × 13.6x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=311.3M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$121.52
-22.7%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=3.08, r=10%, g=7.3%
Book Value (P/B)
$82.50
-47.5%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=55.74, ROE=11.9%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$157.20
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 9.2% | Historical: 7.3%
Margin of Safety
$87.33
-44.4%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=116.43, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.