Lithia Motors

LAD US Consumer Discretionary Automotive Retail
S&P 400
$358.02
-2.22%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

LAD
Lithia Motors
Consumer DiscretionaryAutomotive Retail
$358.02
Close used for this calculation
$746.06Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
67/100
Profitability15/25
Returns18/25
Balance Sheet12/25
Efficiency22/25
Growth17/25
Strong
Quality radar
67Prof.15/25Ret.18/25Eff.22/25B.Sht12/25Growth17/25

Consensus fair value

$746.06
Below FV
▲ +108.4% against the close used
Model range $4.54 – $1,361.63
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$4.54Fair value$746.06Bull$1,361.63
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $243.0052W high $427.48

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

Lithia Motors closed at $358.02, 52.0% below the consensus fair value of $746.06 drawn from 8 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 67/100 — Strong. P/E of 11.1x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$4.54
-98.7%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$454.56
+27.0%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=32.32, BVPS=284.14
P/E Fair Value
$646.40
+80.5%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=32.32, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$580.14
+62.0%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=32.32, g=18%
EV/EBITDA
$1,361.63
+280.3%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=1.92B
Book Value (P/B)
$483.04
+34.9%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=284.14, ROE=12.8%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$358.02
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -0.9% | Historical: 18%
Margin of Safety
$276.38
-22.8%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=368.5, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.