Grand Canyon Education

LOPE US Consumer Discretionary Education Services
S&P 400
$151.20
-0.01%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

LOPE
Grand Canyon Education
Consumer DiscretionaryEducation Services
$151.20
Close used for this calculation
$146.39Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
66/100
Profitability19/25
Returns15/25
Balance Sheet21/25
Efficiency11/25
Growth6/25
Strong
Quality radar
66Prof.19/25Ret.15/25Eff.11/25B.Sht21/25Growth6/25

Consensus fair value

$146.39
Near FV
▼ -3.2% against the close used
Model range $66.56 – $168.95
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$66.56Fair value$146.39Bull$168.95
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $136.7252W high $220.55

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading close to the consensus fair value

Grand Canyon Education closed at $151.20, 3.3% above the consensus fair value of $146.39 drawn from 8 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 66/100 — Strong. P/E of 19.6x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$168.95
+11.7%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$66.56
-56.0%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=7.71, BVPS=25.54 · outside Graham range (P/E 19.6, P/B 5.9) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$154.20
+2.0%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=7.71, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$87.28
-42.3%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=7.71, g=11.3%
EV/EBITDA
$165.94
+9.7%
(EBITDA × 15.7x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=297.1M
Book Value (P/B)
$167.87
+11.0%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=25.54, ROE=32.3%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$151.20
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 6.9% | Historical: 11.3%
Margin of Safety
$97.43
-35.6%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=129.9, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.