Louisiana-Pacific

LPX US Materials Forest Products
S&P 400
$67.29
+2.39%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

LPX
Louisiana-Pacific
MaterialsForest Products
$67.29
Close used for this calculation
$37.42Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
48/100
Profitability13/25
Returns6/25
Balance Sheet23/25
Efficiency6/25
Growth3/25
Average
Quality radar
48Prof.13/25Ret.6/25Eff.6/25B.Sht23/25Growth3/25

Consensus fair value

$37.42
Above FV
▼ -44.4% against the close used
Model range $14.77 – $72.78
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$14.77Fair value$37.42Bull$72.78
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $65.7252W high $98.57

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

Louisiana-Pacific closed at $67.29, 79.8% above the consensus fair value of $37.42 drawn from 8 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 48/100 — Average. P/E of 32.4x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$25.73
-61.8%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$34.15
-49.2%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=2.08, BVPS=24.92 · outside Graham range (P/E 32.4, P/B 2.7) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$41.60
-38.2%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=2.08, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$19.09
-71.6%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=2.08, g=9.2%
EV/EBITDA
$72.78
+8.2%
(EBITDA × 14.6x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=354M
Book Value (P/B)
$14.77
-78.1%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=24.92, ROE=8.4%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$67.29
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 13.6% | Historical: 9.2%
Margin of Safety
$25.37
-62.3%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=33.83, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.