Southwest Airlines

LUV US Industrials Passenger Airlines
S&P 500
$39.24
+1.42%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

LUV
Southwest Airlines
IndustrialsPassenger Airlines
$39.24
Close used for this calculation
$17.90Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
24/100
Profitability8/25
Returns5/25
Balance Sheet2/25
Efficiency9/25
Growth6/25
Weak
Quality radar
24Prof.8/25Ret.5/25Eff.9/25B.Sht2/25Growth6/25

Consensus fair value

$17.90
Above FV
▼ -54.4% against the close used
Model range $5.56 – $32.57
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$5.56Fair value$17.90Bull$32.57
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $29.6752W high $54.80

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

Southwest Airlines closed at $39.24, 119.2% above the consensus fair value of $17.90 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 24/100 — Weak. P/E of 49.7x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$14.81
-62.3%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$15.98
-59.3%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=0.79, BVPS=14.37 · outside Graham range (P/E 49.7, P/B 2.7) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$15.80
-59.7%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=0.79, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$5.56
-85.8%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=0.79, g=7%
EV/EBITDA
$32.57
-17.0%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=1.99B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$9.16
-76.7%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=0.72, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
$6.63
-83.1%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=14.37, ROE=6.2%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$39.24
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 19.4% | Historical: -7%
Margin of Safety
$11.65
-70.3%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=15.53, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.