Mercury General

MCY US Financials Property & Casualty Insurance
S&P 600
$102.34
-0.30%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

MCY
Mercury General
FinancialsProperty & Casualty Insurance
$102.34
Close used for this calculation
$223.18Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
78/100
Profitability21/25
Returns17/25
Balance Sheet19/25
Efficiency21/25
Growth17/25
Strong
Quality radar
78Prof.21/25Ret.17/25Eff.21/25B.Sht19/25Growth17/25

Consensus fair value

$223.18
Below FV
▲ +118.1% against the close used
Model range $68.53 – $368.70
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$68.53Fair value$223.18Bull$368.70
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $76.2352W high $111.12

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

Mercury General closed at $102.34, 54.1% below the consensus fair value of $223.18 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 78/100 — Strong. P/E of 10.5x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$368.70
+260.3%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$106.06
+3.6%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=9.77, BVPS=51.17
P/E Fair Value
$195.40
+90.9%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=9.77, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$127.89
+25.0%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=9.77, g=13.1%
EV/EBITDA
$220.66
+115.6%
(EBITDA × 16.5x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=738.64M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$68.53
-33.0%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=1.27, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
$167.33
+63.5%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=51.17, ROE=19.1%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$102.34
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -1.7% | Historical: 13.1%
Margin of Safety
$167.54
+63.7%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=223.39, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.