$14.80
Above FV▼ -22.9% against the close used
Model range $4.63 – $18.60
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Bear$4.63Fair value$14.80Bull$18.60
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $15.8552W high $22.80
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Trading above the consensus fair value
MDU Resources Group, Inc. closed at $19.20, 29.7% above the consensus fair value of $14.80 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 33/100 — Weak. P/E of 20.7x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
DCF Valuation
$17.43
-9.2%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$17.00
-11.5%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=0.93, BVPS=13.81 · outside Graham range (P/E 20.7, P/B 1.4) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$18.60
-3.1%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=0.93, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$4.63
-75.9%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=0.93, g=5%
EV/EBITDA
$11.34
-40.9%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=497.09M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$6.88
-64.2%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=0.54, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
$6.91
-64.0%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=13.81, ROE=6.5%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$19.20
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 7.6% | Historical: -5%
Margin of Safety
$13.26
-31.0%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=17.68, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.