$50.95
Above FV▼ -33.4% against the close used
Model range $16.33 – $74.40
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Bear$16.33Fair value$50.95Bull$74.40
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $72.4552W high $87.05
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Trading above the consensus fair value
MGE Energy, Inc. closed at $76.48, 50.1% above the consensus fair value of $50.95 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 36/100 — Average. P/E of 20.6x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
DCF Valuation
$56.64
-25.9%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=4.4%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$55.48
-27.5%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=3.72, BVPS=36.77 · outside Graham range (P/E 20.6, P/B 2.1) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$74.40
-2.7%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=3.72, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$16.33
-78.6%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=3.72, g=4.4%
EV/EBITDA
$34.85
-54.4%
(EBITDA × 12.2x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=170.65M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$34.44
-55.0%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=1.85, r=10%, g=4.4%
Book Value (P/B)
$37.23
-51.3%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=36.77, ROE=10.1%, g=4.4%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$76.48
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 7.5% | Historical: 4.4%
Margin of Safety
$46.63
-39.0%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=62.17, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.