MGM Resorts

MGM US Consumer Discretionary Casinos & Gaming
S&P 500
$39.89
-2.06%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

MGM
MGM Resorts
Consumer DiscretionaryCasinos & Gaming
$39.89
Close used for this calculation
$24.47Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
30/100
Profitability10/25
Returns12/25
Balance Sheet6/25
Efficiency2/25
Growth6/25
Weak
Quality radar
30Prof.10/25Ret.12/25Eff.2/25B.Sht6/25Growth6/25

Consensus fair value

$24.47
Above FV
▼ -38.7% against the close used
Model range $7.23 – $59.17
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$7.23Fair value$24.47Bull$59.17
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $30.7252W high $50.69

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

MGM Resorts closed at $39.89, 63.0% above the consensus fair value of $24.47 drawn from 7 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 30/100 — Weak. P/E of 52.5x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$14.24
-64.3%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
P/E Fair Value
$15.20
-61.9%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=0.76, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$8.31
-79.2%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=0.76, g=10.9%
EV/EBITDA
$59.17
+48.3%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=2.02B
Book Value (P/B)
$7.23
-81.9%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=9.75, ROE=8.2%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$39.89
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 20.2% | Historical: -10.9%
Margin of Safety
$11.04
-72.3%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=14.72, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.