Molina Healthcare

MOH US Health Care Managed Health Care
S&P 600
$204.23
+1.97%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

MOH
Molina Healthcare
Health CareManaged Health Care
$204.23
Close used for this calculation
$193.55Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
45/100
Profitability17/25
Returns10/25
Balance Sheet8/25
Efficiency10/25
Growth12/25
Average
Quality radar
45Prof.17/25Ret.10/25Eff.10/25B.Sht8/25Growth12/25

Consensus fair value

$193.55
Near FV
▼ -5.2% against the close used
Model range $108.22 – $332.01
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$108.22Fair value$193.55Bull$332.01
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $122.6552W high $242.88

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading close to the consensus fair value

Molina Healthcare closed at $204.23, 5.5% above the consensus fair value of $193.55 drawn from 8 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 45/100 — Average. P/E of 22.9x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$177.05
-13.3%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$127.79
-37.4%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=8.92, BVPS=81.37 · outside Graham range (P/E 22.9, P/B 2.5) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$178.40
-12.6%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=8.92, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$190.26
-6.8%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=8.92, g=21.3%
EV/EBITDA
$332.01
+62.6%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=976M
Book Value (P/B)
$108.22
-47.0%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=81.37, ROE=11.3%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$204.23
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 9% | Historical: 21.3%
Margin of Safety
$120.81
-40.8%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=161.08, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.