Microsoft
S&P 500
Nasdaq 100
Dow Jones
$495.63
+0.65%
Delayed · cached 15 min
Fair value analysis
MSFT
Microsoft
$495.63
Close used for this calculation
$298.32Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
68/100
Quality radar
Consensus fair value
$298.32
Above FV▼ -39.8% against the close used
Model range $154.83 – $538.50
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear$154.83Fair value$298.32Bull$538.50
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $352.8352W high $542.07
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading above the consensus fair value
Microsoft closed at $495.63, 66.1% above the consensus fair value of $298.32 drawn from 8 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 68/100 — Strong. P/E of 27.6x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
$178.44
-64.0%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$154.83
-68.8%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=17.95, BVPS=59.36 · outside Graham range (P/E 27.6, P/B 8.4) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$359.00
-27.6%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=17.95, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$538.50
+8.6%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=17.95, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
$455.27
-8.1%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=189.54B
Book Value (P/B)
$359.55
-27.5%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=59.36, ROE=30.2%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$495.63
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 11.5% | Historical: 40%
Margin of Safety
$173.07
-65.1%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=230.76, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.