Match Group

MTCH US Communication Services Interactive Media & Services
S&P 600
$42.39
+1.36%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

MTCH
Match Group
Communication ServicesInteractive Media & Services
$42.39
Close used for this calculation
$48.53Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
52/100
Profitability14/25
Returns5/25
Balance Sheet21/25
Efficiency12/25
Growth11/25
Good
Quality radar
52Prof.14/25Ret.5/25Eff.12/25B.Sht21/25Growth11/25

Consensus fair value

$48.53
Near FV
▲ +14.5% against the close used
Model range $9.67 – $74.43
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$9.67Fair value$48.53Bull$74.43
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $28.9052W high $42.44

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

Match Group closed at $42.39, 12.7% below the consensus fair value of $48.53 drawn from 7 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 52/100 — Good. P/E of 17.8x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$74.43
+75.6%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
P/E Fair Value
$47.60
+12.3%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=2.38, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$15.57
-63.3%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=2.38, g=6.5%
EV/EBITDA
$25.03
-41.0%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=939.64M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$9.67
-77.2%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=0.76, r=10%, g=2%
Reverse DCF
$42.39
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 5.6% | Historical: -6.5%
Margin of Safety
$45.76
+8.0%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=61.02, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.