Matador Resources

MTDR US Energy Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
S&P 400
$61.05
-0.93%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

MTDR
Matador Resources
EnergyOil & Gas Exploration & Production
$61.05
Close used for this calculation
$80.43Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
74/100
Profitability23/25
Returns18/25
Balance Sheet10/25
Efficiency23/25
Growth20/25
Strong
Quality radar
74Prof.23/25Ret.18/25Eff.23/25B.Sht10/25Growth20/25

Consensus fair value

$80.43
Below FV
▲ +31.7% against the close used
Model range $42.92 – $322.52
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$42.92Fair value$80.43Bull$322.52
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $37.1952W high $65.45

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

Matador Resources closed at $61.05, 24.1% below the consensus fair value of $80.43 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 74/100 — Strong. P/E of 10.0x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$42.92
-29.7%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$80.84
+32.4%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=6.09, BVPS=47.7
P/E Fair Value
$121.80
+99.5%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=6.09, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$113.03
+85.1%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=6.09, g=18.6%
EV/EBITDA
$322.52
+428.3%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=2.42B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$70.88
+16.1%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=1.31, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
$81.20
+33.0%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=47.7, ROE=12.8%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$61.05
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -2.3% | Historical: 18.6%
Margin of Safety
$61.39
+0.6%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=81.85, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.