Meritage Homes Corporation

MTH US Consumer Discretionary Homebuilding
S&P 600
$64.22
+3.66%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

MTH
Meritage Homes Corporation
Consumer DiscretionaryHomebuilding
$64.22
Close used for this calculation
$76.13Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
53/100
Profitability13/25
Returns11/25
Balance Sheet11/25
Efficiency18/25
Growth8/25
Good
Quality radar
53Prof.13/25Ret.11/25Eff.18/25B.Sht11/25Growth8/25

Consensus fair value

$76.13
Below FV
▲ +18.5% against the close used
Model range $21.28 – $127.00
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$21.28Fair value$76.13Bull$127.00
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $58.7652W high $85.18

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

Meritage Homes Corporation closed at $64.22, 15.6% below the consensus fair value of $76.13 drawn from 8 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 53/100 — Good. P/E of 10.1x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$21.28
-66.9%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=5.7%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$104.51
+62.7%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=6.35, BVPS=76.45
P/E Fair Value
$127.00
+97.8%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=6.35, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$36.07
-43.8%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=6.35, g=5.7%
EV/EBITDA
$109.77
+70.9%
(EBITDA × 12.8x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=609.89M
Book Value (P/B)
$58.05
-9.6%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=76.45, ROE=9%, g=5.7%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$64.22
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -2.2% | Historical: 5.7%
Margin of Safety
$63.20
-1.6%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=84.26, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.