The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear$21.28Fair value$76.13Bull$127.00
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $58.7652W high $85.18
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
Meritage Homes Corporation closed at $64.22, 15.6% below the consensus fair value of $76.13 drawn from 8 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 53/100 — Good. P/E of 10.1x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
$21.28
-66.9%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=5.7%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$104.51
+62.7%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=6.35, BVPS=76.45
P/E Fair Value
$127.00
+97.8%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=6.35, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$36.07
-43.8%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=6.35, g=5.7%
EV/EBITDA
$109.77
+70.9%
(EBITDA × 12.8x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=609.89M
Book Value (P/B)
$58.05
-9.6%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=76.45, ROE=9%, g=5.7%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$64.22
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -2.2% | Historical: 5.7%
Margin of Safety
$63.20
-1.6%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=84.26, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.