Mueller Water Products

MWA US Industrials Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components
S&P 600
$23.94
+1.06%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

MWA
Mueller Water Products
IndustrialsIndustrial Machinery & Supplies & Components
$23.94
Close used for this calculation
$24.97Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
69/100
Profitability21/25
Returns13/25
Balance Sheet21/25
Efficiency14/25
Growth17/25
Strong
Quality radar
69Prof.21/25Ret.13/25Eff.14/25B.Sht21/25Growth17/25

Consensus fair value

$24.97
Near FV
▲ +4.3% against the close used
Model range $14.48 – $36.60
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$14.48Fair value$24.97Bull$36.60
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $22.9152W high $30.37

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading close to the consensus fair value

Mueller Water Products closed at $23.94, 4.1% below the consensus fair value of $24.97 drawn from 8 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 69/100 — Strong. P/E of 19.6x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$21.73
-9.2%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
P/E Fair Value
$24.40
+1.9%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=1.22, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$36.60
+52.9%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=1.22, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
$35.10
+46.6%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=307.5M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$14.48
-39.5%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=0.27, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
$21.09
-11.9%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=6.23, ROE=19.5%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$23.94
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 6.9% | Historical: 40%
Margin of Safety
$17.30
-27.7%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=23.06, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.