National Bank Holdings Corporation

NBHC US Financials Regional Banks
S&P 600
$41.76
+0.46%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

NBHC
National Bank Holdings Corporation
FinancialsRegional Banks
$41.76
Close used for this calculation
$61.06Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
67/100
Profitability25/25
Returns8/25
Balance Sheet18/25
Efficiency16/25
Growth23/25
Strong
Quality radar
67Prof.25/25Ret.8/25Eff.16/25B.Sht18/25Growth23/25

Consensus fair value

$61.06
Below FV
▲ +46.2% against the close used
Model range $5.22 – $85.50
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$5.22Fair value$61.06Bull$85.50
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $35.5952W high $47.08

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

National Bank Holdings Corporation closed at $41.76, 31.6% below the consensus fair value of $61.06 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 67/100 — Strong. P/E of 14.7x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$56.57
+35.5%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$48.90
+17.1%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=2.85, BVPS=37.29
P/E Fair Value
$57.00
+36.5%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=2.85, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$85.50
+104.7%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=2.85, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
$75.72
+81.3%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=161.73M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$64.72
+55.0%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=1.2, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
$5.22
-87.5%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=37.29, ROE=6.6%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$41.76
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 2.9% | Historical: 40%
Margin of Safety
$40.62
-2.7%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=54.16, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.