Neurocrine Biosciences

NBIX US Health Care Biotechnology
S&P 400
$156.22
-0.22%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

NBIX
Neurocrine Biosciences
Health CareBiotechnology
$156.22
Close used for this calculation
$109.13Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
56/100
Profitability23/25
Returns7/25
Balance Sheet18/25
Efficiency8/25
Growth12/25
Good
Quality radar
56Prof.23/25Ret.7/25Eff.8/25B.Sht18/25Growth12/25

Consensus fair value

$109.13
Above FV
▼ -30.1% against the close used
Model range $61.01 – $145.01
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$61.01Fair value$109.13Bull$145.01
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $123.1052W high $185.50

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

Neurocrine Biosciences closed at $156.22, 43.2% above the consensus fair value of $109.13 drawn from 8 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 56/100 — Good. P/E of 33.5x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$145.01
-7.2%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$61.01
-60.9%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=4.67, BVPS=35.42 · outside Graham range (P/E 33.5, P/B 4.4) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$93.40
-40.2%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=4.67, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$140.10
-10.3%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=4.67, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
$113.30
-27.5%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=645.1M
Book Value (P/B)
$61.64
-60.5%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=35.42, ROE=13%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$156.22
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 14.1% | Historical: 40%
Margin of Safety
$74.85
-52.1%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=99.81, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.