The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear$21.18Fair value$57.25Bull$73.47
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $39.2752W high $54.26
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading close to the consensus fair value
NBT Bancorp, Inc. closed at $51.73, 9.6% below the consensus fair value of $57.25 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 63/100 — Good. P/E of 15.5x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
$73.47
+42.0%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=6.4%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$53.00
+2.4%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=3.33, BVPS=37.49
P/E Fair Value
$66.60
+28.7%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=3.33, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$21.18
-59.1%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=3.33, g=6.4%
EV/EBITDA
$56.91
+10.0%
(EBITDA × 13.2x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=219.44M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$41.57
-19.6%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=1.42, r=10%, g=6.4%
Book Value (P/B)
$25.40
-50.9%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=37.49, ROE=8.7%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$51.73
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 3.7% | Historical: 6.4%
Margin of Safety
$48.27
-6.7%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=64.36, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.