₹167.20
Below FV▲ +52.0% against the close used
Model range ₹35.74 – ₹259.50
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Bear₹35.74Fair value₹167.20Bull₹259.50
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ₹88.1952W high ₹160.22
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Trading below the consensus fair value
Nelcast Limited closed at ₹110.00, 34.2% below the consensus fair value of ₹167.20 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 54/100 — Good. P/E of 23.0x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
DCF Valuation
₹175.78
+59.8%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
₹85.86
-21.9%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=5.57, BVPS=58.82 · outside Graham range (P/E 23, P/B 1.9) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
Graham Formula
₹227.06
+106.4%
EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 6.5 ÷ FD_Rate
g=17.7%, FD=7%
P/E Fair Value
₹167.38
+52.2%
EPS × 30.05x (sector P/E)
EPS=5.57, Sector P/E=30.05x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
₹98.59
-10.4%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=5.57, g=17.7%
EV/EBITDA
₹259.50
+135.9%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=1.38B
Book Value (P/B)
₹35.74
-67.5%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=58.82, ROE=8.4%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
₹110.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 7% | Historical: 17.7%
Margin of Safety
₹123.01
+11.8%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=164.02, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.