National Fuel Gas
S&P 400
$81.00
-1.62%
Delayed · cached 15 min
Fair value analysis
NFG
National Fuel Gas
$81.00
Close used for this calculation
$108.18Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
65/100
Quality radar
Consensus fair value
$108.18
Below FV▲ +33.6% against the close used
Model range $40.71 – $221.52
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear$40.71Fair value$108.18Bull$221.52
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $75.8952W high $96.30
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
National Fuel Gas closed at $81.00, 25.1% below the consensus fair value of $108.18 drawn from 7 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 65/100 — Strong. P/E of 14.3x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
$40.71
-49.7%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
P/E Fair Value
$113.60
+40.2%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=5.68, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$120.93
+49.3%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=5.68, g=21.3%
EV/EBITDA
$221.52
+173.5%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=1.27B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$113.29
+39.9%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=2.1, r=10%, g=8%
Reverse DCF
$81.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 2.6% | Historical: 21.3%
Margin of Safety
$57.87
-28.6%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=77.16, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.