National Fert. Ltd

NFL NSE Commodities Fertilizers
Microcap 250
₹68.70
-1.08%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

NFL
National Fert. Ltd
CommoditiesFertilizers
₹69.45
Close used for this calculation
₹81.15Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
58/100
Profitability17/25
Returns15/25
Balance Sheet3/25
Efficiency23/25
Growth20/25
Good
Quality radar
58Prof.17/25Ret.15/25Eff.23/25B.Sht3/25Growth20/25

Consensus fair value

₹81.15
Below FV
▲ +16.8% against the close used
Model range ₹36.99 – ₹380.16
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear₹36.99Fair value₹81.15Bull₹380.16
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ₹64.5252W high ₹99.36

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

National Fert. Ltd closed at ₹69.45, 14.4% below the consensus fair value of ₹81.15 drawn from 10 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 58/100 — Good. P/E of 9.2x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
₹85.55
+23.2%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
₹98.80
+42.3%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=4.31, BVPS=100.65
Graham Formula
₹194.10
+179.5%
EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 6.5 ÷ FD_Rate
g=20%, FD=7%
P/E Fair Value
₹55.60
-19.9%
EPS × 12.9x (sector P/E)
EPS=4.31, Sector P/E=12.9x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
₹90.51
+30.3%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=4.31, g=21%
EV/EBITDA
₹380.16
+447.4%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=12.42B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
₹57.00
-17.9%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=1.06, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
₹36.99
-46.7%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=100.65, ROE=7.5%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
₹69.45
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 4.2% | Historical: 21%
Margin of Safety
₹81.38
+17.2%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=108.51, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.